While crude oil markets moved lower immediately following the easing in tensions, the impact at
the pump has been limited. Retail fuel prices remain elevated as refiners, distributors, and
retailers continue to work through higher-cost inventory purchased during the peak of the
volatility.
�� Fuel Price Movement Since the Ceasefire
(Apr 1, 2026 → Apr 14, 2026)
Diesel: $5.305 → $5.461 (+$0.156, +2.9%)
Regular Gasoline: $3.965 → $3.996 (+$0.031, +0.8%)
Premium Gasoline: $4.782 → $4.807 (+$0.025, +0.5%)
�� Diesel remains above the $5/gallon mark nationally, while premium gasoline is still hoverin
near that level despite signs of stabilization.
�� Regional Fuel Price Trends Since the Ceasefire
�� West
Diesel: $6.149 → $6.267 (+$0.118, +1.9%)
Regular: $4.777 → $5.323 (+$0.546, +11.4%)
Premium: $5.328 → $5.323 (–$0.005, –0.1%)
�� The West remains the most expensive fuel market nationally, with only limited signs o
easing despite the ceasefire.
�� South
Diesel: $5.262 → $5.342 (+$0.079, +1.5%)
Regular: $3.759 → $3.768 (+$0.009, +0.2%)
Premium: $4.561 → $4.574 (+$0.013, +0.3%)
�� The South continues to hold lower prices than the West and Northeast, but declines remai
modest and most categories are still elevated.
�� Midwest
Diesel: $4.822 → $5.091 (+$0.269, +5.6%)
Regular: $3.789 → $3.844 (+$0.056, +1.5%)
Premium: $4.486 → $4.576 (+$0.090, +2.0%)
�� The Midwest posted one of the strongest diesel increases since April 1, showing tha
commercial fuel markets remain under pressure.
�� Rather than seeing a major pullback, the Midwest continues to experience upward pressur
across most fuel categories.
�� Northeast
Diesel: $5.801 → $5.885 (+$0.084, +1.5%)
Regular: $3.842 → $4.004 (+$0.162, +4.2%)
Premium: $4.833 → $4.891 (+$0.058, +1.2%)
�� The Northeast remains one of the highest-cost fuel markets, with diesel still approachin
$6/gallon regionally.
�� Despite the ceasefire, the Northeast has seen only limited relief, with most fuel categorie
continuing to edge higher.
�� Predictions
If the ceasefire holds and geopolitical tensions continue to ease, fuel prices could begin to
stabilize further over the coming weeks, with diesel potentially moving back below $5/gallon
nationally and premium remaining below the $5 threshold.
However, if the ceasefire breaks down and geopolitical tensions return, fuel markets could move
sharply higher again. In that scenario, national diesel prices could climb back toward
$5.50/gallon, while premium gasoline could push above $5/gallon across more U.S. regions.
